As incredible as this sounds, both the Ravens and Cowboys are fighting for playoff positioning in their Week 13 meeting. Both are just 1.5 games back of being tied for a playoff spot thanks to the Cowboys playing in the NFC East, so this matchup of a 6-5 team and a 3-8 team may have more meaning than people realize. That should excite NFL DFS owners, as it means this game could be surprisingly competitive and create a lot of lineup options. Still, our FanDuel Single-game lineup is targeting the Ravens heavily and banking on them taking advantage of the Cowboys’ biggest weakness.
The Cowboys have one of the NFL’s worst defenses, and it will be hard for them to stop the getting-healthier Ravens. Baltimore is still missing a couple of contributors that are on the COVID list, notably TE Mark Andrews and WR Willie Snead, but with Lamar Jackson back in action, they will be positioned to run a tighter ship on offense. That’s why we’re targeting Jackson and stacking him with some of his top receiving weapons, as we’re hoping that he can take advantage of a very weak and banged-up Cowboys secondary.
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FanDuel Single-Game Picks: Ravens vs. Cowboys
MVP (1.5x points): Lamar Jackson, Ravens ($16,500)
Sometimes, going contrarian at the MVP spot can pay off. This is not one of those cases. Practically every player on this slate is a risk aside from Jackson. The choices are to either go with him, trust one of his backs in a three-man committee, go with one of his inconsistent receivers, or gamble on a Cowboy in the MVP spot. None sound too appealing. Jackson is averaging 20.34 FanDuel points per game anyway, and he has a high rushing floor, as he is averaging 57.5 rushing yards per game this season. Against a weak defense that has allowed the fourth-most passing TDs to QBs this year (24), Jackson should have a chance to have one of his best games of the season, especially with the Ravens needing to win to keep pace in the AFC playoff race.
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FLEX: Amari Cooper, Cowboys ($13,500)
We have to trust one Cowboy in this lineup, and our choice will be Cooper. Cooper has been one of the most consistent WRs in the league this year. Despite playing with four different starting quarterbacks, Cooper has posted double-digit FanDuel points in nine of his 11 outings. The only games he didn’t were the game where Dak Prescott got hurt and the game that Ben DiNucci started. With Andy Dalton in the fold, Cooper should continue to play well. He’s pretty much a matchup-proof player, so we’ll spend up to get him as our lone Cowboy even against a Ravens defense that has allowed the fifth-fewest FanDuel points to WRs this year.
TNF INJURY UPDATES: Lamar Jackson
FLEX: JK Dobbins, Ravens ($12,000)
Before missing a game due to a positive COVID test, Dobbins was en route toward becoming the Ravens’ lead back. He had 85 yards and a TD on 17 touches against the Titans in the last game he played, and if he gets another 15 touches (which seems likely due to the recent struggles of Mark Ingram and the decent-at-best performance of Gus Edwards), he could have a big day against the Cowboys defense. Dallas has allowed the second-most rushing yards to RBs this season at a mark of 1,438. With a steady dose of Dobbins and Jackson in this lineup, we should be able to account for most of the Ravens’ rushing points on the day, provided that neither Edwards nor Ingram vultures a goal-line opportunity.
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FLEX: Marquise Brown, Ravens ($10,000)
Brown is a massive boom-or-bust play for this lineup. On the one hand, he has an excellent matchup against a Cowboys defense that has allowed the second-most FanDuel points to WRs this year. They have allowed a league-high 19 receiving TDs to the position despite the fact that they have only played 11 games. However, in his last four games with Jackson at QB, Brown has averaged 4.3 targets, 1.5 catches, and 13.8 yards per game. He did have a four-catch, 88-yard performance with a TD last week, but most of that came as a result of a busted coverage late with the Steelers already up 12 late in the game. Still, Brown has the speed needed to cause problems for the Cowboys. Even if his production has been spotty, this will be a good spot to get him going in, and Jackson should look his way plenty.
FLEX: Devin Duvernay, Ravens ($7,000)
In order to spend up for Jackson and three other $10K contributors, we had to spend down here. Considering that the Ravens have a number of receivers available here, that wasn’t difficult. However, picking the breakout candidate was tricky. Ultimately, we narrowed it down to Duvernay and Dez Bryant, and we ended up going with Duvernay because of one factor: Speed. Duvernay is blazing fast, and it will only take one big catch for him to pay his value off. He played in 77 percent of the team’s snaps a week ago with Willie Snead (COVID) out, and since Snead is still on the COVID list, Duvernay could see more action again. He’s a risky play, but against a secondary as bad as that of the Cowboys, he’s a worthy risk to take for the purposes of lineup differentiation.